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Home»National

As Nigeria Exit FATF Grey List, What You Should Know – Adejuyigbe Francis

As a professional economist-in-view candidate, here is data-informed narrative of how Nigeria, under President Bola Tinubu’s administration, succeeded in exiting the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) “grey list”, why it matters, implications and next-steps may be. - Adejuyigbe Francis .A.
Adejuyigbe AdegokeBy Adejuyigbe AdegokeOctober 26, 2025 National No Comments6 Mins Read
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The Situation & Why It Mattered:

In February 2023, Nigeria was placed on the FATF grey list owing to “strategic deficiencies” in its anti-money-laundering (AML), and counter-terrorist-financing (CFT), frameworks.

Being grey-listed means increased international scrutiny of transactions involving that country, higher costs of correspondent banking relationships, slower cross-border flows, and a dampened investor confidence. For example, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has estimated that being on such monitoring lists can reduce foreign capital inflows by roughly ~7.6 % of GDP for affected countries.
Thus, Nigeria faced both reputational and transactional costs.

What Was Done: The Reform Effort

Under President Tinubu’s leadership, Nigeria accelerated a reform agenda aimed at meeting the FATF’s requirements. Key elements included:

  • Completion of a 19-point Action Plan developed in collaboration with FATF and the regional body Inter‑Governmental Action Group against Money Laundering in West Africa (GIABA).





  • Legislative, institutional and operational reforms: e.g., enhancing beneficial-ownership registers, tightening supervision of financial institutions and designated non-financial businesses and professions (DNFBPs), improving inter-agency coordination, and increasing financial-intelligence dissemination.

  • Strong leadership and coordination: The reform involved collaboration among multiple agencies — the Nigerian Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU), the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), the Independent Corrupt Practices Commission (ICPC), the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), among others. The presidency publicly acknowledged this coordination.

  • International technical assistance and partnership: Nigeria engaged with its foreign partners and international institutions as part of the reform process.

In statements, President Tinubu described the grey-listing as “a call to action” and the exit as “not just a technical accomplishment but a strategic victory”.

The Outcome: Exit from the Grey List

On October 24 2025, FATF announced that Nigeria had been removed from its list of jurisdictions under increased monitoring (the “grey list”).

The official reasoning cited Nigeria’s “significant progress in strengthening its AML/CFT regime, meeting the commitments in its action plan regarding the strategic deficiencies”.

Various stakeholders hailed the development:

  • The UK High Commissioner to Nigeria called it “brilliant news… reflects strong efforts to implement reforms by the Nigerian government”.

  • The Nigeria Governors’ Forum described it as evidence of financial discipline and integrity introduced by the Tinubu administration.

Why It Matters — Implications & Significance

a) Investor Confidence & Capital Flows

With Nigeria’s exit, friction in international financial transactions may reduce, and cross-border payments and trade finance may become easier. Analysts expect improved investor sentiment and potential capital inflows.

b) Reputation & Financial System Credibility

Exiting the grey list lifts a reputational burden: it signals to global markets that Nigeria is aligning with international standards of financial integrity, which can help in credit ratings, trade terms, and foreign partnerships.

c) Domestic Governance & Institutional Strengthening

The process of reform has built capacity within Nigeria’s institutions (NFIU, EFCC, etc) — which means beyond just meeting the checklist for FATF, Nigeria is upgrading its institutional architecture for governance and accountability.

d) Economic Reform Agenda Alignment

This achievement dovetails with President Tinubu’s broader “Renewed Hope” / economic reform agenda which emphasises transparency, institutional reform and opening the economy. The delisting becomes a visible milestone of that agenda.

5. Challenges & What Comes Next

While the delisting is significant, it is not the end; several risks and next-steps persist:

  • Sustaining momentum: Many commentators pointed out that being removed from the grey list should not lead to complacency; continuous institutional vigilance is needed so as not to be re-listed.

  • Operational implementation: Laws and frameworks are one thing; actual enforcement, prosecutions, asset recovery, ongoing oversight are another. Nigeria must ensure that the reforms are deeply embedded.

  • Broader economic context: While the delisting helps, Nigeria still faces other headwinds — e.g., macroeconomic imbalances, external shocks, domestic security challenges. The reform must link to broader economic growth.

  • Private-sector and citizen trust: For the broader benefit to play out (thinking of businesses, banks, citizens), there must be visible improvements in service delivery, transparency of institutions, and ease of doing business.

  • Data and measurement: Keeping track of metrics such as number of AML investigations, prosecutions, frozen/seized assets, quality of beneficial-ownership data, cross-border cooperation volumes, etc will be important to show sustained progress.

Narrative Through Numbers (Where Available)

  • Nigeria was placed on the grey list in February 2023.

  • It exited in October 2025 — about 32 months later.

  • The reform path included a 19-point Action Plan.

  • The IMF-estimated drag on capital inflows from grey-listing is around ~7.6 % of GDP.
    → If one uses Nigeria’s GDP (for example, ~US$504 billion in 2024 per World Bank) this implies a notional loss of up to ~US$38 billion of potential capital inflows while on the list — though one must treat this as indicative, not definitive.

  • The coordinated institutions involved number more than a dozen (NFIU, CBN, EFCC, ICPC, CAC, Customs, Police, etc) reflecting the broad institutional mobilisation.

A Story of Leadership, Reform & Credibility

At its core, Nigeria’s exit from the FATF grey list is a story of leadership commitment, systemic reform, and institutional collaboration.

President Tinubu recognised the listing as a challenge rather than a stigma — he publicly described the listing as “a call to action”.

The reform pathway spanned legal changes (to improve corporate transparency, beneficial ownership), operational upgrades (enhanced intelligence sharing, risk-based supervision), and a coordinated national task force that brought together agencies at all levels.

The result is a tangible improvement in Nigeria’s positioning: the signal to international markets is that Nigeria is becoming a “trusted jurisdiction” again.

Looking Ahead: What Would Success Look Like?

Going forward, success will be visible if Nigeria can achieve:

  • Sustained increase in investigations, prosecutions, asset seizures of money-laundering and terrorist-financing cases.

  • Consistent, transparent ownership data for companies and legal persons, enabling effective unraveling of illicit flows.

  • Enhanced cross-border cooperation, both inbound and outbound, with other financial-intelligence units and law-enforcement agencies.

  • Improvement in business environment and financial flows: lower cost of funds for Nigerian banks, easier correspondent banking, rising foreign direct investment.

  • Broader economic benefits: stronger banking sector, improved credit ratings, enhanced trade financing, better integration into global financial markets.

  • A visible shift in public-sector governance: fewer high-profile leaks, stronger enforcement of compliance, better transparency in public-finances.

In My Conclusion

Nigeria’s exit from the FATF grey list tick-box President Tinubu as a leader who knows the game and should be allowed some time for his administration’s policies to mature and be beneficial to Nigerians. It marks a meaningful shift in how the country is seen by the global financial system — from one under heavy scrutiny to one meeting international standards. Under President Tinubu’s reform drive, Nigeria mobilised its legal, regulatory and enforcement architecture to achieve this outcome.

The bigger challenge now is to consolidate these gains: ensure institutional reforms stick, convert improved credibility into economic dividends, and underpin sustainable growth. If Nigeria manages that, this milestone could become a turning point for its financial system and broader economy.

#Francis #President Tinubu 19 Point Agenda Adejuyigbe Adegoke AML CBN CFT EFCC Exit FATF Fishe NG Grey List ICPC IMF Nigeria Renewed Hope
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